Paul Sweeting

Analysis: The Value of Copying DVDs

Authored by Paul Sweeting on April 6, 2009 - 12:01pm.

The National Consumers League is out with the results of a new study conducted by Opinion Research showing that 90% of consumers believe they should be able to back up their DVDs to a hard drive or copy them to a portable device, and they'd be willing to pay about $61 for a piece of software that helped them back up their collections. Sounds like a good business opportunity for someone like a RealNetworks...oh wait.

DMFE: 'The First Thing We Do, Let's Kill All The Lawyers'

Authored by Paul Sweeting on February 26, 2009 - 9:26am.

New York - Fascinating keynote at the Digital Music Forum East this morning from Jim Griffin, an advisor to Warner Music Group and head of the Choruss initiative. I'm getting a text of his speech and will post. But suffice to say he delivered a smackdown to Rick Carnes and Chris Castle over their criticisms of Choruss which ran in op-ed that appeared in Content Agenda and other publications.

Buzz Watch: Disney Gives Grim Outlook For The DVD Business

Authored by Paul Sweeting on February 4, 2009 - 9:04am.

Well that was a downer from Disney yesterday in its fiscal Q1 earnings call. The DVD business is tanking, nothing else is taking up the slack and we have to spend less money making movies. The "conversion rate" for new releases (i.e. the ratio of DVDs sold per million dollars of box-office gross) is falling, consumers are buying fewer catalog titles, shelf-space is disappearing and prices are plummeting. And oh, yeah: the rest of businesses pretty much suck right now, too. It sure didn't sound like the happiest place on earth.

Analysis: Do the Studios Still Have Game?

Authored by Paul Sweeting on January 22, 2009 - 6:49am.

Warner Bros. just became the latest studio to announce cut backs, unveiling plans to eliminate 800 jobs, about 10% of its global workforce, through layoffs, attrition and outsourcing. The move follows similar cut backs at Paramount Pictures and NBC Universal, as well as earlier downsizing moves by Warner Bros. parent Time Warner. In a memo to staffers announcing the cuts, Warner Bros. toppers Barry Meyer and Alan Horn called the decision painful but necessary.

Howard Stringer: The Seven Habits of Highly Effective CE Companies

Authored by Paul Sweeting on January 8, 2009 - 8:36am.
LAS VEGAS--The most compelling thing on display at Sony chairman Sir Howard Stringer's CES keynote this morning was a short clip from the upcoming Disney/Pixar movie "Up." Why was the chairman of Sony plugging a Disney picture? Because Sir Howard was borrowing Disney chief creative officer and Pixar founder John Lasseter to shill for Blu-ray, and where there's a quid there must be a quo. The fact that Sony is still dragging Hollywood luminaries up on stage to defend promote Blu-ray tells you all you need to know about where Sony really thinks about how the Blu-ray revolution is coming along (you WON for chrissakes). "Never have I been as excited by a technology as I am with Blu-ray," Lasseter enthused. "Once you have it, you can’t go back."

Analysis: Cisco-Vision To Be Revealed at CES

Authored by Paul Sweeting on December 30, 2008 - 2:18am.
After talking the talk for several years (and spending the dough), Cisco Systems will take its first step toward walking the consumer-electronics walk next month when it unveils a new wireless home stereo system at CES designed for streaming high-quality audio around the house. The most interesting bit of news in the New York Times report, however, may be the other home networking ideas Cisco is kicking around.

Buzz Watch: Sin No Longer In At YouTube

Authored by Paul Sweeting on December 2, 2008 - 12:03pm.
It was destined to happen anyway, and might be for the best in the long run, but it's still sort of sad to see the day finally come: The grownups are taking over YouTube. In a post on its main corporate blog, the popular video sharing site said it is cracking down on hanky-panky. Henceforth, the site will impose "stricter standards" for what qualifies as "sexually suggestive" material subject to age-restricted viewing.
tags: Video | Law | TV | YouTube | Regulation | Hulu |

Analysis: Obama Off To A Promising Start With Recent FCC Appointments

Authored by Paul Sweeting on November 17, 2008 - 8:24am.

Any lingering doubts as to where the incoming Obama administration will be coming from on telecom policy were more or less erased Friday when the president elect named Susan Crawford and Kevin Werbach to lead the transition team at the Federal Communications Commission. Both Crawford and Werbach are industry experts and proponents of "broadband everywhere." Crawford, a professor of law at the University of Michigan and author of a widely read blog on communications issues, in particular has been critical of the telecom industry and has endorsed treating broadband connectivity like a regulated or municipally provided utility, similar to water, sewage and electricity service. Werbach is a professor of legal studies at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business and organizer of the annual Supernova technology conference. During the Clinton administration, he served as counsel for new technology policy at the FCC.

Analysis: Obama's Promised CTO Should Set A New Tone For Policy-Making

Authored by Paul Sweeting on November 10, 2008 - 7:20am.

In an appearance on CNBC Friday, Google CEO Eric Schmidt took himself out of the running to be the Obama Administration’s promised chief technology officer, so we can stick in fork in that really bad idea. Asked by host Jim Cramer if he’s interested in the job Schmidt said, “I love working at Google and I'm very happy to stay at Google, so the answer is no.” Thank goodness for that.

Analysis: Bad Omen for Blu-ray

Authored by Paul Sweeting on October 23, 2008 - 7:05am.

Sony didn't include Blu-ray players or PlayStation 3 consoles among the product lines expected to take a hit this fourth quarter from the global economic slowdown. Instead, it blamed the 38% cut in its earnings forecast for the holiday season on slowing sales of LCD TVs, digital cameras and video camcorders, along with the rise of the yen against the dollar and euro. But given the overall outlook--including the company's indication that further cuts to its forecast are possible--it's probably only corporate pride that keeps Sony from lumping its two flagship products in with the rest of the disaster.

tags: Video | TV | HDTV | CE | Movies | Investing | Blu-ray | Film |

Analysis: Is Scarcity Still A Viable Foundation For Monetizing Content In a Digital Age?

Authored by Paul Sweeting on October 9, 2008 - 8:15am.

Is scarcity still a viable foundation for a business model for content owners? For most of their histories, movie and TV studios relied on a strategy of limited distribution to extract maximum value from their works. Movies were released through a carefully ordered sequence of exclusive windows defined by distribution channel (theaters, DVD, pay-TV, broadcast); network TV series didn't enter the broader syndication market for three or four years after their debut, assuming the series lasted that long. In each case, the relative scarcity of the content provided the content owner with maximum pricing power. Since the advent of digital platforms, however, ubiquity has become the name of the game, challenging content owners' pricing power and business models.

Analysis: Set-Top, Shmet-Top: TV Makers Take It Inside

Authored by Paul Sweeting on September 4, 2008 - 7:12am.
The annual CEDIA Expo has been underway in Denver this week, where consumer electronics manufacturers were unveiling their newest top-of-line hardware for an audience of custom home theater installers. This year's show was heavy on (very) high-end Blu-ray Disc players from Sony, Panasonic, Pioneer, JVC and others (not much for the Wal-Mart crowd there). But it also featured hardware makers' first substantial forays into Internet-enabled TV sets, which are designed to serve as their own bridge between the Web-delivered video and the big-screen TV in the living room without the need of a separate set-top box or PC.

Analysis: Media Companies like Time Warner Need To Become Enablers Of Content

Authored by Paul Sweeting on August 11, 2008 - 7:27am.
Two items from the weekend papers had Media Wonk shaking his head over the state of the discussion, at least in mainstream outlets, around the impact of digital technology on the media business--which may be one reason why mainstream outlets--newspapers in particular--are having some a difficult time absorbing that impact. One, which appeared in Sunday's New York Times business section, was a long profile of Time Warner and its new CEO, Jeff Bewkes. The other, which ran in Saturday's Wall Street Journal (I know, who reads the Saturday Journal? Loser bloggers in need of material, that's who.), was an op-ed by Elizabeth Lee Wurtzel (Prozac Nation) headlined, "The Internet is ruining America's Movies and Music." Without putting too fine a point on it, it was one of the dumber things Media Wonk has read on the subject in a long time.

Analysis: Selectable Business Models For Film and TV

Authored by Paul Sweeting on August 8, 2008 - 5:59am.
Media Wonk is still scratching his noodle trying to figure out the MPAA's game plan--assuming it has one--for gaining approval of its petition to the FCC for a waiver on the rules restricting the use of selectable output controls on set-top boxes. As noted last week, the studios' reply comments in response to other public filings was a study in obdurateness.

Analysis: A Gracenote to the Sony-BMG Deal

Authored by Paul Sweeting on August 5, 2008 - 7:30am.
Sony Corp.'s deal to buy out Bertelsmann's 50% interest in Sony-BMG Music, announced Tuesday, has some numbers crunchers scratching their heads. Apart from the price paid--roughly $1.2 billion once all aspects of the Byzantine deal structure are factored in--there's the basic question of why Sony--or any company for that matter--would pay anything for a record company these days. It's not as if you can point to a lot of good news coming out of the music industry lately. Sony-BMG itself, in fact, just posted a $24 million net loss for the second quarter.
tags: Deals | Music | Sony | Sony BMG | Gracenote |

Analysis: Google Blows Q2, YouTube Still a Mystery

Authored by Paul Sweeting on July 18, 2008 - 9:28am.

Google posted a 39% increase in revenue for the second quarter Thursday compared to the same period last year, but it whiffed on EPS, missing analysts' consensus target by more than a dime. That sent shares of GOOG down hard in after hours trading, at one point dropping more than 10% from its closing price. On the analyst call, Google officials acknowledged that the weak economy is starting to bite, particularly recession-sensitive ad categories like autos, real estate, finance and travel. Major capex spending as well as higher G&A--driven by all the lawyers and lobbyists Google has had to hire recently--undercut EPS.

Google: Don't Be Evil, but Hire Good Lawyers

Authored by Paul Sweeting on July 14, 2008 - 7:29am.

Busy week coming up for Google's lawyers. On Tuesday, Google's senior legal office Dave Drummond will be on Capitol Hill to answer questions from the Senate Judiciary Committee on his company's proposed search ad partnership with Yahoo. Although Congressional hearings are mostly for tourists, Drummond will need to be careful in answering the committee's questions as the deal is also under investigation by the Department of Justice, which probably isn't just doing it for show and will likely regard anything Drummond says as part of the record. Drummond will be joined at the witness table by Yahoo general counsel Michael Callahan and his counterpart at Microsoft, Brad Smith.

Analysis: Viacom vs YouTube - Education by Litigation

Authored by Paul Sweeting on July 8, 2008 - 10:25am.
Many a lament has already been sung over the privacy implications to the judge's discovery ruling granting Viacom access to the login names and IP addresses of all users who have ever watched a video on YouTube as part of Viacom's $1 billion lawsuit against the Web site and its parent company, Google. So Media Wonk won't bother going over the same ground. (Good discussions of the issue can be found here and here.) But comparatively little attention has been focused on another likely outcome of the judge's order that holds potentially significant implications for the future of the online video business.

Google Gets The Evil Eye

Authored by Paul Sweeting on July 7, 2008 - 5:32am.
This morning's must read: Steve Lohr's news analysis piece in the NYTimes on Google's emerging role as the Microsoft of the Internet age. Not just a dominant company, but a dominant company astride a core technology of the digital economy, in this case search and search-based advertising. Although Media Wonk and others have made similar arguments in the past, Lohr marshals sources with actual credentials to point out the similarities in the market dynamics of operating systems and search.

Analysis: NBC's Olympic Trial

Authored by Paul Sweeting on June 30, 2008 - 5:57am.

It's hardly an original insight to note that traditional media companies are trapped in their legacy business models at a time of rapid change in technology and consumer behavior. But rarely do you see the old and the new in such stark tension as in the case of NBC Universal's plans for presenting the upcoming Summer Olympics in Beijing. According to this AP story, NBC will offer an unprecedented 1,400 hours of TV coverage across its six networks--more than all previous Summer Olympics combined--as well as 2,200 hours of live coverage on the Web and over 3,000 hours of highlights available on-demand from NBCOlympics.com.