First, let me offer a great big thank you to Youtube from me and
everyone on the internet, including many small businesses. Im just
guessing here, but based on reports coming from Compete and others, I
don't think its a stretch to say that Youtube subsidizes the cost of
more than half the user generated internet bandwidth consumed in the
United States.
Yep, you read that right. If you thought that the
internet only used free as an incentive back during the Bubble Years,
think again. I'm sure I speak for 10s of millions of us who have hosted
videos on Youtube when I offer much gratitude to Google for their
generosity. Never could even I have imagined that when they bought
Youtube it would be such a costly mistake. If buying a company in order
to subsidize the video bandwidth of the internet isn't crazy.., I dont know what is.
Fortunately
for Google, they have unquestionably the world's best network and most
likely the world's lowest bandwidth costs. So if anyone is going to be
able to afford that cost, it would be Google.
As long as their
stock price doesn't fall another 50pct that is. At that point even the
most forgiving shareholder may ask about the wisdom of subsidizing all
things video on the internet. Particularly when they realize that they
have forgotten to price in the overhanging risk of the legal copyright
challenges still in play against Youtube. Those lawsuits have not gone
away, and the risk certainly has not been reduced. They simply are not
front of mind to shareholders these days.
But they may be front
of mind at Google. Maybe It's just the cynic in me, but I think the
primary reason behind the enhancement of Youtube APIs and the removal of the Youtube watermark have more to do with copyright than anything else
You
see, when Youtube offers their API and allows users of all shapes and
sizes to host video on their own sites, rather than on Youtube or
Google, the copyright risk to Youtube disappears. At that point Youtube
is truly just a service provider and they have no idea what content
they are hosting. That gets them legal.
Currently, Youtube is
not allowed to know what content is being uploaded and available on
their website unless it is content for which they have a signed deal.
Pundits like to attribute the lack of ads around content to advertisers
concern for the uncertainty of proximity to who knows what kind of
video. I don't see it that way. There is always a price advertisers
will pay for Run of Site ads. The risk is not the advertisers' its
Youtube's. They can't place ads according to user uploaded content
because they aren't supposed to know what or where that content is.
So back to the APIs.
If a website uses the API to post a video on their own site, they assume all the copyright risk. Youtube is in the clear.
Pushing
the copyright risk to the site using the API is great news for Google.
They now control that's website's video economics because they are
still assuming 100pct of the bandwidth costs. Because of this 1999
style generosity, Google is hoping that the website will now take
advantage of any and all of their advertising programs that generate
revenue for the site and of course for Google. I think thats a trade
off most sites wanting to host video will make. Particularly with all
the options that Google/Doubleclick can now offer and of course the
fact that their Terms of Service include the following preclusion from
selling advertising in and around the Youtube hosted content:
"the sale of advertising, sponsorships, or promotions targeted to, within, or on the API Client or YouTube video content;"
So
because of the API, Google goes from not being able to generate more
than trivial revenue on Youtube to being able to generate limitless
revenue on 3rd party sites.
Now that is not crazy. Thats a smart move if they can get traction with it.
In
fact, at some point in the future, don't be surprised if Google makes it
more and more difficult to upload video on to Youtube by REQUIRING you
to sign a license for the content first. Thats a heck of a lot cheaper
than paying 150k dollars per infringing download.
If I am MicroSoft, I'm freaking out realizing that something needs to be done to pre empt this move.
Your move MicroHoo.
Mark Cuban
This piece was originally published on Mark's blog Blog Maverick and is posted on DMW with the author's permission. Mark's bio can be viewed here. The views expressed in this post are the author’s own, and do not represent the views of Digital Media Wire.
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By Daniel F. Pigatto
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